Horse Racing Handicapping Pace For Trifectas and Other Exotic Bets

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Trying to figure out which horses to put into your trifecta wager is often difficult because it seems that if you just box three horses, one of them will run fourth and that other horse will get its nose into your tri for second or third. That other horse, of course, is the one you considered but decided to leave out of your box bet. How do you decide which horses to leave in and which ones to leave out?

One of the problems with picking good trifecta bets is that you’re trying to determine which horse will win and which ones will run second and third. Why is that a problem? The reason is that the same track model or running style that wins races at that distance is probably quite different than horses that run second or third.

For instance, let’s say that you’re handicapping sprints and early speed running styles are usually the winners and the track model shows a preference for front runners. Many people then handicap the race and think that the front runners will complete the trifecta. They assume that one of them will win and the others will run second and third. Looking at the running styles of the horses who run second and third, however, often indicates that they have much different running styles.

It’s often the presser style or closers that manage to beat front runners for the place and show money in such races. While several front runners may vie for the early lead, one or two will usually tire badly leaving one that manages to hang on for the win while several closing horses that appeared inferior to the rest of the field may benefit from the battle up front and pass those tiring horses.

A trifecta key bet with a few of the front runners on top over the other running style horses for second and third position will often bring home the bacon, so to speak, resulting in a trifecta win that pays off well because many people who bet the trifecta left those horses, the other horses, out of their wagering combinations.

To determine if a horse with the early speed running style will manage to hold on for the second or third place you must determine how much of a battle there will be up front and how strong the other runners may be. When comparing the closers and pressers to the front runners, remember that the front runners will be softened up if they have to race against too many horses with early speed.

Source by Bill Peterson

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