Sports betting can definitely be profitable. There are allot of very successful tipsters out there. I hear allot of people asking every single day if it’s possible to make living betting on sports. The truth is; it is. In fact allot of people are currently making a great amount of money, simply by betting on sports online.
Which Sports to Bet On?
One word: Tennis. Tennis is the single sport bookmakers seem to have trouble controlling. They’re always on top in e.g. soccer and football, but not when it comes to tennis. When betting on tennis, you’ve got only two possible outcomes. Simple math says you’ve got a 50% chance of winning (placing a bet at random).
50%? That’s Not That Good!
Exactly! This is why we’re going to be analyzing the previous matches and combine the data with a few tennis betting tips – we’ve instantly increased our chances of winning substantially.
A Few Tennis Betting Tips
Before we go into how exactly it is we’re analyzing a match, let’s go over a few tennis betting tips.
#1. Do not look at odds only. Obviously if someone were to have odds of 1.03 and another odds of 6.0, the bookmaker thinks it’s allot more likely that player A is going to win. They’re most likely correct. Nevertheless, to be betting successfully on these types of odds you’re going to need a well constructed system.
#2. Tennis is very easy to analyze since we’ve only got two players playing against each other (there are doubles of course, but stay away from these unless you know what you’re doing). When analyzing, try to use a head-to-head overview. This gives you allot of data that’s easily manageable.
#3. A few tipsters claim that matches in the female league are harder to analyze. This is not true. You’ve got access to the same data and it’s just as easy to read.
#4. Keep in mind that the quantity of data does play a role. If player A has played two matches and won 1, he’s at 50%. While if another one has been playing 100 matches and won 40 of them, he’d be on 40%. It’s allot more likely that player B will keep up his 40% streak than it is for player A to stay on a 50% streak. It might lower or rise, we don’t know until he has been playing more matches.
Analyzing Tennis Matches
There are a few ways to analyze a tennis match. You can do it while watching it, you can watch previous matches played on video, or you can check out the statistics. Obviously the fastest way would be to analyze the statistics of two players, but you might like to watch the games, it gives a bit of an excitement.
Note; we’re only going to look at analyzing statistics here.
Getting access to tennis stats
This is very simple. Simply fire up Google and type ‘player A vs. player B + statistics + tennis’. In the rare case that you won’t be able to find a good page this way, Tennis.com has an overview over matches being played over the next couple of days. Simple head over to their side, click live scores (or head to http://www.tennis.com/livescores/index.aspx ). There you’ll see an overview of matches, simple click the head-to-head link to see the head-to-head stats.
Let’s have a look at matches played in the near future. At the time of writing this we’ve got a match with Tomas Berdych VS Novak Djokovic. I simply fire up Google and search ‘Tomas Berdych VS Novak Djokovic + statistics + tennis’ (or head over to Tennis.com and do it ‘manually’). This brings up a page with their head-to-head statistics.
At the time of writing they’ve played 7 matches against each other. Tomas Berdych has won 2 while Novak Djokovic has won 5.
- Won 2 matches head-to-head
- Won 7 singles
- Lost 2 singles
- Singles ranking #6
- Won 5 matches head-to-head
- Won 8 singles (and 2 doubles)
- Lost 1 double
- Singles ranking #3
These are the ‘main’ stats we look at when analyzing a tennis match. Obviously the most sufficient stat is the head to head stat, followed by the single stats. We can clearly see that Novak Djokovic has the statistical upper hand (obviously we can’t be certain that he’s going to win, we can only assume it, given the statistics).
To take the analysis to another level, it’s possible to look at the singles to see if Tomas has won a few sets before Novak took the last one and won the match. Everything counts, be creative.
Summing it up
Probably the most important thing to keep in mind when betting on sports is that there’s never 100% chance of winning (unless you’re sports arbitraging, more on that later). Analysis can only take us so far as to give us a (good) hunch of who’s going to win the match.